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The China-India excuse for us not bothering
halt global warming is a cop-out. Those two countries today
are certainly becoming big consumers of fossil fuel, but
they didn't create the Global Warming problems we now have.
By consuming huge quantities of fossil carbon materials
throughout the last half-century, we in the West created
the problem. We are the biggest culprits. The 80ppm of carbon
dioxide in the air causing global warming has to be removed.
Increasing soil organic matter content by enhancing soil
fertility is the only viable mechanism for removal, we humans
have. That trees could do it is a PR fabricated fiction.
We would need to plant about two trillion trees. World food
production would have to totally end to make available the
land needed to grow them.
Those responsible for putting the carbon dioxide
in the air must be responsible for removing it. And of course
that responsibility has to be apportioned justly.
This is what we do. Let's decide 1950 to 2000
as our half-century baseline period. Fortunately each individual
country's use of fossil carbon materials in that period
is well documented. WORLD RESORCES A Guide To The Global
Environment is a publication produced by the World Resources
Institute in collaboration with The United Nation Environmental
Program and The United Nations Development Programme. It
contains all the relevant information from which it became
possible to assess each country's specific contribution
to the planetary predicament of Global Warming, or more
benignly "climate change".
Each country must accept the responsibility
of removing the carbon dioxide that it individually added
to the atmosphere and this has been catalogued. This catalogue
will be added next month.Then adjacent to the Index will
be a table listing each of the world's countries, along
with their individual contribution to Global Warming. It's
will be shown as a percentage. Then next it is shown as
the number of parts per million of carbon dioxide each country
is obliged to remove. The agricultural land area, comprising
both croplands and grazing lands available to sequester
the CO2, is then listed. In the adjacent column is listed
the increase in soil organic matter needed in that land
to honor the country's responsibility. It is nominated as
the percentage point increase required. That increase in
soil organic matter is required to a depth of one foot or
300mm. That depth of soil weighs about four tonnes to the
hectare, or 3600 pounds to the acre.
Using ballpark approximations. If equating
it as pure carbon, just halve the percentages. If equating
it to carbon dioxide, double the percentages.
Let's consider examples. In the last half-century
India discharged into the air approximately 2.3% of the
world's production of carbon dioxide from fossil fuel use
for all transport, industry and cement production. The world's
problem is 80ppm too much carbon dioxide in the air, so
India's responsibility is 2.3% of that, or approximately
2ppm. Carbon dioxide from cement production is generally
around two to three percent of a country's total carbon
dioxide emissions. For India cement production would contribute
approximately one sixth of one part per million. Cement
production we can tolerate until a substitute becomes available.
The farming and pasturelands of India add up to 181 million
hectares. So India has to increase the fertility in those
soils by less than one percentage point to be totally innocent
of any contribution to our current Global Warming mess.
Australia discharged 1.2% and is thus responsible
for removing 1ppm.
China discharged only 9.2% so it must remove
7ppm.
United States discharged 27% so must remove
its 22ppm.
Europe discharged a whopping 38% so must remove
30ppm.
Thus the US and Europe will be obliged to
enrich soils in other countries as well as their own to
satisfy their international obligations.
Many affluent countries won't have enough
land to sequester their accumulated apportionment so those
countries must pay for and develop soil fertility in the
countries that do have the land. As they're generally Third
World countries, that also becomes the perfect aid package.
It's totally fair and it's totally just, and we create a
wonderful, fertile and healthy world. Then to keep it wonderful
we simply stop mining fossil carbon material and in turn
stop dumping the waste greenhouse gases produced, direct
into our vulnerable biosphere.
We can and must make nations accept their
responsibilities and act on them. Apart from the obvious
moral and ethical considerations, there can be other inducements.
For example a country may have a valuable tourism trade,
so let's not visit them, and tell them why. Tourism is big
business and we are the tourists. We can make the tourist
trade our own personal very big stick.
A message to the young: go save the world,
because all too soon, it's all going to be yours.
Allan Yeomans. |